Protesters in Tripoli, Libya./AP Photo

Protesters in Tripoli, Libya./AP Photo

With yet another Arab nation on the edge of deposing its leader, U.S. and European leaders are greeting the pending regime change in Libya having a mixture of triumph and trepidation. The Obama administration and its particular allies certainly will cast the rebels’ quick and decisive advance into Tripoli over the weekend as a vindication in their protracted intervention in a de facto civil war. Merely last month, some lawmakers in Congress were attempting to pull funding for the mission.

However analysts, and President Obama himself, cautioned that the hard work is not done. Effectively, no one is in charge of the country. Muammar al-Qaddafi is missing, his sons are already captured and the rebels are still pushing through pockets of Tripoli with no plan for who is acceptable to take the reins of authority.

The presumed transition, as in Egypt, increases questions regarding whether the government that replaces Qaddafi’s will probably be pro-American or anti-American, Islamist or secular or perhaps somewhere in between.

US President Barack Obama
File photo: US President Barack Obama during a speech addressing Libyan protests (March 2011).

“Weeks from now, we’re going to see the beginning of a tension between the more Islamist part and the more secular part of that Transitional Council,” stated Walid Phares, a Middle East analyst and Fox News contributor.

The most recent revolution of the Arab Spring may also not be its last. Retired Gen. Jack Keane, former vice chief of staff for the Army, stated the Tripoli offensive “provides energy” for demonstrators in Syria.

It comes down after President Obama and European allies increased pressure on Syria’s Bashar Assad with sanctions and long-awaited calls for him to step down following months of attacks on protesters. The growing changes in turn increase pressure on Obama to convey an even more in depth and extensive approach to the political change in the middle East and North Africa, in order to impart some measure of balance on a region which has little.

For the moment, Obama urged the Transitional National Council to demonstrate “leadership” in a manner that respects the rights of Libyans. Knowing the council as the country’s official government, Obama urged its leaders to avoid civilian casualties and pursue “democracy that is just and inclusive for all of the people of Libya.”

“A season of conflict must lead to one of peace,” Obama mentioned in a written statement released from his vacation digs at Martha’s Vineyard.

“We will continue to insist that the basic rights of the Libyan people are respected. And we will continue to work with our allies and partners in the international community to protect the people of Libya, and to support a peaceful transition to democracy.”

The possible risks with regime change had been exemplified last week after a deadly dispute between Egypt and Israel. After Palestinian militants released a series of assaults in a resort area of southern Israel, most probably entering by way of Egypt, Israeli forces in pursuit of the militants obviously killed three Egyptian soldiers.

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